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Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Bleeding Heartland: Time for another look at Culver's re-election chances

Excerpted from this post at Bleeding Heartland

In January I went over some of Governor Chet Culver's strengths and
weaknesses looking ahead to the 2010 campaign. Click the link for the
analysis, but to make a long story short, I saw three big pluses for
the governor: 1. He's an incumbent. 2. Iowa Democrats have opened up a
large registration edge since Culver won the first time. 3. He has at
least $1.5 million in the bank. I saw his problem points as: 1. The
economy is lousy and could get worse before 2010. 2. The first midterm
election is often tough for the president's party. 3. Turnout will be
lower in 2010 than it was in the 2008 presidential election. 4.
Culver's campaign had a high burn rate in 2008, so may not have a
commanding war chest going into the next campaign.


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Mike Schramm
Andy Szal

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