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Friday, May 30, 2008

John Deeth Blog: Delegate math and popular vote myth

Excerpted from this post at John Deeth Blog

The Democratic National Committee's Rules and Nomination Committee is
preparing to meet in Washington Saturday to decide the fate of
calendar cheaters Florida and Michigan. Most observers are instead
expecting delegates from the two states to be seated with a half vote
each, though there's several variations on that theme. One thing the
committee won't settle is the debate on how to define the popular
vote. How much of the Michigan and Florida fight about the delegates,
at half or full strength, and how much is about popular vote claims?
If the two states are seated in any way based on the too-early
primaries, the votes "counted." "Count all the votes" is Hillary
Clinton's mantra, as she claims a popular vote lead in an effort to
persuade superdelegates. But the formulas that show Clinton in the
lead don't count all the votes -- and Iowa is among the states

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