The Real Sporer: Iowa gets closer, Mitt stays on message and Fred gets some love (or, the State of the State on Sunday morning)
Excerpted from this post at The Real Sporer
Here at the TRS we've been chasing a theory about polls-polls are a
lagging indicator. Sentiment begins to change before it's reflected in
the polls. Last summer we saw a ton of evidence that Mitt was climbing
into a lead in Iowa nearly a month before that was reflected in the
polls. Same with Huckabee this fall. (A guy's gotta crow a little when
he's right does he not?). Iowans are a well informed group of voters.
Those faces in attendance at the candidate forums are usually the
opinion leaders in their own social unit (e.g. family, friends and,
for our Democrat friends, troop).