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Friday, November 02, 2007

The Real Sporer: Iowa Presidential Recap: Mitt hangs tough, Huckabee surge continues, everyone else fighting it out

Excerpted from this post at The Real Sporer

Earlier this week, prior to release of the most recent American
Research Group ("ARG") poll TRS did a brief coverage of the anecdotal
evidence of the Republican Presidential candidates' respective
standing in Iowa. This opinion was formed after some pretty candid
conversations with Iowa Republican leaders from the precinct to the
state wide level. It was the TRS perspective that Huck and FDT were
surging and Mitt was holding firm at the 25-30 percent range, which
probably means first place in the Caucuses. The Rasmussen Report is
among the most reliable of polling providers. A Rasmussen poll from
earlier in the month (10/10-10/14) showed Mitt outside the margin of
error at 25, FDT at 19, Huck in a statistical near tie at 18, with
Rudy at 13 percent of likely caucus goers.

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Mike Schramm
Andy Szal

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