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Tuesday, September 04, 2007

WebCoRep Blog: Iowa's Influence in the Primary Cycle

Excerpted from this post at WebCoRep Blog

Ross Kaminsky as an interesting piece at Real Clear Politics on the
influence of Iowa and New Hampshire. Kaminsky argues that Iowa and New
Hampshire is loosing it's influence in the primary schedule. Romney is
leading by between 10 and 15 points in both Iowa and New Hampshire,
while Giuliani is leading in a number of the February 5th states, as
well as in the national polls. Kaminsky argues that while focusing on
Iowa and New Hampshire is probably the best strategy for Romney, in
the end it won't help him with the nomination because the compact
schedule will prevent him from gaining on any momentum in the later
states (particularly the February 5th states) where Giuliani has a
good hold. While I think that Kaminsky is on to something, and indeed
I pretty much agree that the nomination will come down to a question
of strategy, I still wonder.


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