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Wednesday, August 01, 2007

Bleeding Heartland: ARG Iowa poll: Clinton, Edwards, Obama, Richardson

Excerpted from this post at Bleeding Heartland

ARG, which has shown Clinton leading in Iowa all year, released a new
poll today with similar findings. Details and a spirited discussion of
this poll can be found over at MyDD. Here are the key findings:
Clinton 30 (down from 32 in last ARG poll), Edwards 21 (down from 29
in last ARG poll), Obama 15 (up from 13 in last ARG poll), Richardson
13 (up from 5 in last ARG poll). These numbers just don't ring true to
me. I don't believe Clinton leads Edwards in Iowa, and certainly not
by that kind of a margin. All year ARG has had Clinton around 30
percent in Iowa, and I can't remember any other pollster finding her
with support that high. ARG's new numbers for Republicans in Iowa are
also at odds with recent polling by other firms. ARG finds: Giuliani
22, Romney 21, McCain 17, Undecided 15, Fred Thompson 13, Gingrich 4.

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Mike Schramm
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