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Tuesday, July 10, 2007

Century of the Common Iowan: Romney's Big Lead in Iowa

Excerpted from this post at Century of the Common Iowan

Politico takes an in depth look at the Republican field in Iowa and
concludes Mitt Romney has a commanding lead in the state. They discuss
McCain cutting back staff, ask if Rudy is taking Iowa seriously, and
they take a look at the dark horse campaigns of Brownback, Huckabee,
and Tommy Thompson. Politico does point out a possible winning
strategy for Giuliani... 'For Giuliani, his best caucus hopes may lie
in the politics of pluralities. Should Thompson play in Iowa,
conservatives may split their vote between the actor/politician and
Romney, with some second-tier candidates also picking up support.'
Romney has put together a good organization in Iowa, has raised the
money, and was the first one airing TV ads in the state. That has
obviously helped him gain support. However, one reason Romney looks so
strong in Iowa is because the other candidates look so weak. Romney's
lead is as much from his work as it is because of the other candidates
lack of support. The second tier candidates haven't been able to spark
much enthusiasm. I don't see the excitement on the Republican side in
Iowa that I do on the Democratic side.


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