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Thursday, June 07, 2007

Century of the Common Iowan: Is Loebsack Vulnerable in 2008?

Excerpted from this post at Century of the Common Iowan
Political analyst Larry Sabato released a list of 15 Freshman Congressman that are vulnerable in 2008. ... One of the 15 Congressman named is Iowa's 2nd District Representive, Dave Loebsack. Here is what Sabato says about Loebsack ... "Rep. Dave Loebsack, an ex-Political Science professor (quite a noble profession we must note), defeated ex-Rep. Jim Leach in 2006, taking advantage of the Democratic wave that even swept away Leach who voted against the Iraq use of force resolution. Leach was primarily a victim of party ID in a district that favored each of the past two Democratic presidential nominees by double digit margins." ... I disagree with Sabato that Leach was a better fit for the district than Loebsack. IA-02 is one of the heaviest leaning Democratic districts in the country. Leach was a Republican, Loebsack is a Democrat, it is that simple. So it seems that Sabato thinks Loebsack has a good shot of being challenged in 2008 in a Democratic Primary. This isn't that surprising since there might have been some people thinking about running, but never thought Leach could be beat. Now that Loebsack has taken down Leach, they might think it is their shot.

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Mike Schramm
Andy Szal

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