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Tuesday, June 05, 2007

Bleeding Heartland: Public Policy Polling shows Edwards and Romney leading

Excerpted from this post at Bleeding Heartland
Chris Bowers has the numbers on the Democratic side at MyDD: Iowa, May 30, 1,238 likely caucus goers, MoE 2.7%. No trendlines. Edwards: 31; Clinton: 17; Obama: 17 ... I don't know whether Clinton and Obama are really that far back in Iowa, but I think it's fair to say that the recent ARG poll showing Clinton 31, Edwards 26 and Obama 11 was an outlier. ... I imagine that Obama does quite well among the "only have a cell phone" crowd, so polls may be understating his support. But if I were Obama, I would fire the scheduler who put him at a west-coast fundraiser instead of in Cedar Rapids on Saturday night. That was a crazy decision. He's rolling in money and is probably going to outraise Clinton in the second quarter. He's trailing in the Iowa polls and should have taken that opportunity to make the sale with party activists. Ordinary voters won't care a bit about who came to the Hall of Fame dinner. But every one of the 1,000 people who attended can probably influence at least a dozen friends and neighbors.

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