John Deeth Blog: Register Polls Issues, Misses Intensity
Excerpted from this post at John Deeth Blog
... the Register poll measures near-even splits on Iowa's English Only and stem cell bans and on discrimination against gays. What these kinds of polls don't measure is intensity on these issues.It's not raw numbers that move voting behavior, it's strength of feeling. And on all these issues, the intensity is with the theocrats. Democrats may feel mildly that English Only is kinda sorta mean-spirited, but the Steve King-Tom Tancredo wing of the GOP is enraged every time someone speaks Spanish in public and clings fiercely to their oversimplified, "illegal means illegal" rhetoric. This, sadly, moves more votes than a reasoned approach, even when the reasoned approach is supported by a soft majority.